BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Baseball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Des Moines Lincoln
Class: 4A Class Rank: 36 Conference: (14-21-0) Overall: (14-25-0) Overall Strength = 26.20
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 05/25/2012 Away L * 27.00 0 5 4A 7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge 0.81 -5.81
2 05/25/2012 Away L * 28.00 1 5 4A 7 (36- 8) Fort Dodge 1.81 -5.81
3 05/29/2012 Home L * 21.96 0 10 4A 8 (29-11) Waukee -4.23 -5.77 5 innings
4 05/29/2012 Home L * 30.96 0 1 4A 8 (29-11) Waukee 4.77 -5.77
5 06/01/2012 Home W * 35.40 4 2 4A 2 (32-11) WDM Dowling 9.20 -7.20
6 06/01/2012 Home L * 24.40 1 10 4A 2 (32-11) WDM Dowling -1.80 -7.20
7 06/04/2012 Away W * 33.92 10 3 4A 31 (19-19) Ottumwa 7.72 -0.72
8 06/04/2012 Away W * 29.92 4 1 4A 31 (19-19) Ottumwa 3.72 -0.72
9 06/07/2012 Home W * 30.72 4 3 4A 17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt 4.53 -3.53
10 06/07/2012 Home L * 19.72 0 10 4A 17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt -6.47 -3.53 5 inn.
11 06/11/2012 Home W * 30.76 4 3 4A 16 (25-15) Des Moines East 4.56 -3.56
12 06/11/2012 Home L * 23.76 3 9 4A 16 (25-15) Des Moines East -2.44 -3.56
13 06/14/2012 Away W * 28.22 11 1 4A 48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North 2.02 7.98
14 06/14/2012 Away W * 21.22 7 4 4A 48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North -4.98 7.98
15 06/18/2012 Away W * 26.57 10 7 4A 44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover 0.38 2.62
16 06/18/2012 Away L * 19.57 0 4 4A 44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover -6.62 2.62
17 06/19/2012 Home L 21.73 4 14 3A 1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes -4.47 -5.53
18 06/19/2012 Home L 29.73 5 7 3A 1 (36- 2) Dallas Center-Grimes 3.53 -5.53
19 06/21/2012 Home W * 30.15 5 2 4A 31 (19-19) Ottumwa 3.96 -0.96
20 06/21/2012 Home L * 24.15 6 9 4A 31 (19-19) Ottumwa -2.04 -0.96
21 06/22/2012 Home L * 30.39 1 3 4A 6 (20-20) Johnston 4.19 -6.19
22 06/23/2012 Home L 24.63 10 14 3A 6 (33- 7) Clear Lake -1.57 -2.43
23 06/23/2012 Away L 23.37 10 14 4A 29 (21-16) CB Lincoln -2.82 -1.18
24 06/25/2012 Away L * 16.49 0 13 4A 17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt -9.71 -3.29
25 06/25/2012 Away L * 25.49 0 4 4A 17 (21-17) Des Moines Roosevelt -0.71 -3.29
26 06/26/2012 Away L * 25.17 4 12 4A 5 (28-14) Southeast Polk -1.02 -6.98
27 06/26/2012 Away L * 28.17 3 8 4A 5 (28-14) Southeast Polk 1.98 -6.98
28 06/28/2012 Away W * 30.52 1 0 4A 16 (25-15) Des Moines East 4.33 -3.33
29 06/28/2012 Away L * 27.52 2 4 4A 16 (25-15) Des Moines East 1.33 -3.33
30 06/30/2012 Unknown L * 24.48 0 4 4A 24 (19-23) Marshalltown -1.71 -2.29
31 07/03/2012 Home W * 29.45 12 1 4A 48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North 3.26 7.74
32 07/03/2012 Home W * 25.45 8 1 4A 48 ( 2-34) Des Moines North -0.74 7.74
33 07/05/2012 Home W * 28.81 12 7 4A 44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover 2.61 2.39
34 07/05/2012 Home W * 30.81 7 0 4A 44 ( 7-29) Des Moines Hoover 4.61 2.39
35 07/06/2012 Away L * 28.75 0 7 4A 1 (43- 2) Ankeny 2.56 -9.56
36 07/09/2012 Away L * 28.03 3 8 4A 3 (34-10) WDM Valley 1.83 -6.83
37 07/10/2012 Home L * 15.02 6 17 4A 38 ( 7-30) Ames -11.17 0.17 5 innings
38 07/10/2012 Home L * 21.02 2 7 4A 38 ( 7-30) Ames -5.17 0.17
39 07/13/2012 Away L * 20.15 0 12 4A 6 (20-20) Johnston -6.04 -5.96
Averages 26.20 4.1 6.3
Best game: 35.40 = 2 point win over West Des Moines Dowling
Worst game: 15.02 = 11 point loss to Ames
Team stdev: 4.61